February 26, 2024


“The anti-Trump candidates are enjoying a sport of musical chairs on the Titanic.” 

Former President Donald Trump speaks throughout a decide to caucus rally, Tuesday, Dec. 19, 2023, in Waterloo, Iowa. AP Photograph/Charlie Neibergall

With little greater than a month to go earlier than New Hampshire’s presidential major, a brand new UMass Lowell ballot reveals former President Donald Trump with a hearty lead within the race for the Republican celebration’s nomination.

Launched Thursday, the ballot from UMass Lowell’s Heart for Public Opinion and YouGov surveyed 450 probably New Hampshire Republican major voters, with 52% saying they’d vote to re-elect Trump. The ballot outcomes confirmed former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley — who scored an endorsement from New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu earlier this month — in a “not-so-close second” with help from 22% of respondents, in accordance with UMass Lowell. 

“The ballot outcomes throw chilly water on any traction Haley thought she had,” John Cluverius, the Heart for Public Opinion’s director of survey analysis, mentioned in an announcement. “Regardless of an endorsement from Sununu — whom the ballot discovered enjoys an 80% favorability ranking amongst respondents — and her try to string the needle on abortion, she will be able to’t appear to shut the deal.” 

In line with the ballot, Trump leads Haley in each demographic; Haley really fared worse amongst girls than males. 

Trailing Trump and Haley is Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who received help from 10% of respondents. Six % supported former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, whereas entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy scored help from 4% of respondents and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson garnered 1%.

Lower than 0.5% of respondents supported one other candidate, and 5% of probably major voters had been undecided, in accordance with UMass Lowell. When requested who would win the Jan. 23 New Hampshire major, 65% of respondents answered Trump.

In an accompanying evaluation of the ballot’s highlights, Cluverius put it bluntly: “The anti-Trump candidates are enjoying a sport of musical chairs on the Titanic.” 

The place voters stand on abortion, age limits for elected officers

The ballot additionally surveyed voters on international conflicts and sure hot-button points which have arisen this election cycle, particularly abortion rights and age limits for elected officers. 

In line with UMass Lowell, respondents had been cut up on the Israel-Hamas struggle, with 50% considerably or strongly supporting the Republican presidential nominee calling for a right away ceasefire, and 50% considerably or strongly opposed. Respondents had been equally cut up on offering U.S. assist to Israel. 

As for the Russian invasion of Ukraine, 66% of respondents mentioned they considerably or strongly opposed extra assist to Ukraine, although 76% held an unfavorable view of Russian President Vladimir Putin. 

Respondents did, nonetheless, voice help for abortion rights and age limits for these holding federal workplace. 

Requested if there must be a proper to get an abortion in each U.S. state, 67% of voters surveyed mentioned undoubtedly or most likely sure — together with 64% of self-identified Republicans, in accordance with UMass Lowell. 

The ballot additionally discovered that 64% of respondents mentioned they might again a constitutional modification prohibiting candidates 75 years of age or older from holding federal workplace. Notably, Trump can be 78 years outdated and President Joe Biden can be 82 on Inauguration Day if both one had been reelected. 

“One massive theme of this election has been voter dissatisfaction with the age of the frontrunners for each political events,” Cluverius famous. “Voters say they’re bored with an older era of elected officers, however appear gung-ho to vote for that era anyway.”